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"8 Indications Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election"

A political observer has itemized eight factors, which are believed to be pointers that the 2019 presidential election has already been decided.

According to their analysis, the Presidential candidate of the People’s Democratic Party, (PDP), Atiku Abubakar is likely to lose the 2019 Presidential election to the All Progressives Congress flag bearer, President Mohammadu Buhari.

Read the full analysis below:

“Here are the top 8 indicators that Atiku Abubakar the Presidential candidate of the PDP has already lost the 2019 Presidential election to President Mohammadu Buhari.

  1. The DubaiPlan Was A Flop
    Atiku landed from Dubai where he spent sometime with both local and foreign consultants including members of his Campaign Team crafting the document dobbed the AtikuPlan. PDP members were in high spirit and Nigerians sat back to be mesmerized, only for the Plan to end up being a failure. To start with, it was mainly about Selling most of the major National assets. Nigerians expect Power to return to the South in 2023, but Atiku landed from Dubai with a 6-years Plan. Figures were greatly exaggerated in the document. The Plan had nothing exciting, unique or exceptional – just the same old stuff. No new ideas in it.
  2. Poor Handling Of The VP Pick
    The regions for Atiku to pick a VP were obvious – it was either SW in order to slug it out with Buhari head long or SE if he wants to consolidate his base. SW already had the VP in the bag, so Atiku going for SE was a better option and everyone knew. But Atiku still messed that up – stakeholder were not carried along, party leadership barely had a say and to make matter worse, Atiku went solo – they all heard it in the News like everyone else. Guideline was not followed. The VP choice was not jointly unveiled. Needless to say there is suspicion and apprehension in the camp. Atiku has low rating on Trust, this does not help either.
  3. No Excitement From Atiku Camp
    Most fans and supporters rally around Atiku expecting that money will be shared and any time that does not happen disappointment sets in. Unlike President Buhari. Majority of Buhari’s supporters already know he doesn’t spray money. In fact everyone will be astonished if Buhari throws a penny. Has never done that. That is why he is loved. That is who he is. Yet has millions of supporters. The same can’t be said about Atiku.
  4. Inability To Split The Northern Votes By Half
    If Atiku Abubakar gets anything less than 50% of the Northern Votes, the has lost the election. And from all permutations and analysis that seems impossible. President Buhari still enjoy majority of support from the Northern parts of Nigeria.
  5. Buhari Is Making In-Road In Areas He Lost In 2015
    The APC has made remarkable inroad to areas he lost in 2015. State like Ebonyi, Enugu, Anambra, Delta, Cross River, Akwa Ibom and Rivers are warming up to him. That implies more votes will be coming from the SE and SS than was achieved in 2015 and these are Atiku’s current strongholds.
  6. PDP Lack Federal Might And Power Of Incumbency – APC Has It
    In many elections, these 2 factors have been tools for success in the hands of PDP. Opposition members were either restricted in Hotels, loyalty curried, results re-written, unused votes counted for the winner, oppositions party agents refused access, vote buying, thugs having free reign, etc were common occurance. Whether or not the APC will use these is to be seen, but one thing that is sure is that the PDP will not enjoy them for the first time since 1999.
  7. 2023 Presidency Factor
    One thing that is working against Atiku and will contribute to his defeat is the 2023 Factor. Those hoping to benefit from it are the SE and SW. Ironically, with Atiku playing his 6 years plan, voting for President Buhari is the only way the SE and SW have a clear shot at it. Currently the SE has it because it is a Legacy Issue, the need to resolve a political imbalance. But if the SE puts all her eggs in Atiku’s basket and it fails, the SW will have the upper hand as they will be closer to power in Buhari’s second term and can hope the North reciprocate the support when the time comes. Therefore we expect the SE votes will be a slit to solidify the quest for the 2023 Presidential ambition.
  8. Atiku Is Not Jonathan
    If Buhari wins majority of votes in the North, Atiku will lose the election as there is noway he (Atiku) will get 100% of the votes former President Jonathan got in 2015.

“The odds are staked against Atiku. It will be a miracle for him to pull out a win 2019. With all that has been deployed against President Buhari not sticking, it is safe to say – Atiku is fighting a lost cause.

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Emeh James Anyalekwa, is a Seasoned Journalist, scriptwriter, Movie producer/Director and Showbiz consultant. He is the founder and CEO of the multi Media conglomerate, CANDY VILLE, specializing in Entertainment, Events, Prints and Productions. He is currently a Special Assistant (Media) to the Former Governor of Abia State and Chairman Slok Group, Dr. Orji Uzor Kalu. Anyalekwa is also the National President, Online Media Practitioners Association of Nigeria (OMPAN) https://web.facebook.com/emehjames

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